{
 "study": "frame-shannon2",
 "run_id": "20261101T082050Z",
 "date": "2026-11-01",
 "prereg": {
  "path": "PREREG-shannon2.txt",
  "sha256": "70d161373422827c33dd0682d33e31a36f9ee03ec974b228dd0c7d41afdb90f8",
  "anchors": [
   "sidecar",
   "lock"
  ],
  "plan_sha256": "41242bb227893e5d7b39c5cd863bc0d4729d132a335f15a58fcd3f9514ff5903",
  "locked_at": "2026-11-01T08:20:49+00:00"
 },
 "hashes": {
  "s_shannon2.py": "8c05f3c6580aa3c3be3b6940b92d5c021abab1e40c61666f072839307cb40c5b",
  "s_shannon.py": "76786d336be20d414a8a4e3a6dae015aa467c75f8db92fba615a9761e178a643"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "sizes": {
   "fic_old": [
    600000,
    100000
   ],
   "fic_mid": [
    600000,
    100000
   ],
   "non_old": [
    600000,
    100000
   ],
   "non_new": [
    588712,
    100000
   ]
  },
  "ll_fic_old_on_fic_old": 1.9313678542541342,
  "ll_fic_old_on_fic_mid": 2.2502609836607474,
  "ll_fic_old_on_non_old": 2.076469841164063,
  "ll_fic_old_on_non_new": 3.305079844149717,
  "ll_fic_mid_on_fic_old": 2.1839379746290573,
  "ll_fic_mid_on_fic_mid": 2.1500461260749786,
  "ll_fic_mid_on_non_old": 2.2569945808619303,
  "ll_fic_mid_on_non_new": 3.32880683752558,
  "ll_non_old_on_fic_old": 2.9979112817549476,
  "ll_non_old_on_fic_mid": 3.254597754901603,
  "ll_non_old_on_non_old": 1.632132579540908,
  "ll_non_old_on_non_new": 3.776920141328096,
  "ll_non_new_on_fic_old": 2.6254916705651246,
  "ll_non_new_on_fic_mid": 2.744679005357217,
  "ll_non_new_on_non_old": 2.1526736773903212,
  "ll_non_new_on_non_new": 2.411727618333086,
  "era_fic_o2m": 0.10021485758576887,
  "era_fic_m2o": 0.2525701203749231,
  "cross_non": 1.36519252299501,
  "genre_fic2non_old": 0.4443372616231551,
  "genre_fic2non_new": 0.9170792191924941,
  "neg_ll": -1.9313678542541342
 },
 "controls": {
  "shuf": {
   "n": 20,
   "usable": true,
   "mean": -9.26361604933078,
   "q95": -9.198522927406001,
   "q05": -9.353890959413675,
   "p_ge": 0.047619047619047616,
   "compare": "analysis.neg_ll",
   "description": "held-out characters shuffled"
  }
 },
 "timing_s": {
  "analysis": 20.899983499999507,
  "shuf": 1.5449426999985008
 },
 "verdicts": {
  "CLAIM_era_over_genre": {
   "verdict": "FAIL",
   "rules": [
    {
     "rule": "analysis.era_fic_o2m > analysis.genre_fic2non_old",
     "left": 0.10021485758576887,
     "right": 0.4443372616231551,
     "holds": false
    }
   ]
  },
  "F_self": {
   "verdict": "FAIL",
   "rules": [
    {
     "rule": "analysis.ll_fic_old_on_fic_old >= 2",
     "left": 1.9313678542541342,
     "right": 2,
     "holds": false
    },
    {
     "rule": "analysis.ll_fic_old_on_fic_old <= 2.5",
     "left": 1.9313678542541342,
     "right": 2.5,
     "holds": true
    }
   ]
  },
  "F_o2m": {
   "verdict": "PASS",
   "rules": [
    {
     "rule": "analysis.era_fic_o2m >= 0.02",
     "left": 0.10021485758576887,
     "right": 0.02,
     "holds": true
    },
    {
     "rule": "analysis.era_fic_o2m <= 0.3",
     "left": 0.10021485758576887,
     "right": 0.3,
     "holds": true
    }
   ]
  },
  "F_m2o": {
   "verdict": "PASS",
   "rules": [
    {
     "rule": "analysis.era_fic_m2o >= 0.02",
     "left": 0.2525701203749231,
     "right": 0.02,
     "holds": true
    },
    {
     "rule": "analysis.era_fic_m2o <= 0.3",
     "left": 0.2525701203749231,
     "right": 0.3,
     "holds": true
    }
   ]
  },
  "F_genre": {
   "verdict": "PASS",
   "rules": [
    {
     "rule": "analysis.genre_fic2non_old >= 0.2",
     "left": 0.4443372616231551,
     "right": 0.2,
     "holds": true
    },
    {
     "rule": "analysis.genre_fic2non_old <= 0.9",
     "left": 0.4443372616231551,
     "right": 0.9,
     "holds": true
    }
   ]
  },
  "F_cross": {
   "verdict": "PASS",
   "rules": [
    {
     "rule": "analysis.cross_non >= 0.4",
     "left": 1.36519252299501,
     "right": 0.4,
     "holds": true
    },
    {
     "rule": "analysis.cross_non <= 1.6",
     "left": 1.36519252299501,
     "right": 1.6,
     "holds": true
    }
   ]
  },
  "H_ctl": {
   "verdict": "PASS",
   "rules": [
    {
     "rule": "analysis.neg_ll > controls.shuf.q95",
     "left": -1.9313678542541342,
     "right": -9.198522927406001,
     "holds": true
    }
   ]
  }
 },
 "reproduce": null,
 "status": "scored"
}