{
 "study": "predict-anything-r2",
 "run_id": "20261029T175624Z",
 "date": "2026-10-29",
 "prereg": {
  "path": "PREREG-R2.txt",
  "sha256": "e722f68052046c926fe562f66bfb368fef7b6c3120dc28de781b861e727e4d54",
  "anchors": [
   "sidecar",
   "lock"
  ],
  "plan_sha256": "7ae9de2b411eaa112e2644a19075028358534a613be6439c97d6fd040b9b33d9",
  "locked_at": "2026-10-29T17:56:16+00:00"
 },
 "hashes": {
  "deam.npz": "4808e07904d463d28a9b4127d60fe99f936e872712b1c1db7b74bffb3716dffa",
  "gjp.npz": "4cdca46d78f8bca3dd8d59a1becb9c1a70b875a412287b34939ebc56ebadc362",
  "mood.npz": "302de8cf91e4447571c49ef18a7c10845b7edc32c9ae3a3381c35c67bfe6f5bb",
  "taste.npz": "e0ecd0f272f64e97ef6ff305f90e7c2463e63a449eed2e24a4b2cd7e13fe65be",
  "things.npz": "09e553910e63d3de0cbb422ffcf877d5d843be54e32872d1f5fad2c49826391b",
  "trees.npz": "8bad8b5371f70809248bab5e50b205bc9fb22ad1d5007f7f0cabc3cf239cd4cb",
  "pa_units.py": "27736d6e969b101571c37690aed88cbfde9130ad743135f91cc2aff2e52b5157",
  "pa_curves.py": "1ded4cde3d8fcfc88a1dfe9acaa24fcdd87028253e420cd2a5333054f21f0b3a",
  "pa_domains.py": "1a872fd254bf4dab4cb0057774f2c475a70cf9a14be3159e05fbf4d27e24b30c",
  "pa_things.py": "785d444fb9764aa180c3f4dafa3e24ee9803a2be4d56e11649212cac3afa83d1",
  "pa_toys.py": "554a93b44662ae87f2d0dcfa7f3fc1e262729152d86ac37ffcc647e4cdff050c",
  "pa_extra.py": "14d9cc320be1c389012be476bbb56b622c729b0432c1301c7b7aa6b5776faf9f",
  "pa_build.py": "7447fcbd35cd299a5ccd2fe24758f655e633bb8668ff553952dc82444314aa68",
  "pa_build_more.py": "11edf3def28124884404d8b41ad0b01280f68c285a568bf71b473bd43b015b5c"
 },
 "analysis": {
  "domains": {
   "trees_growth": {
    "task": "reg",
    "n": 73553,
    "n_train": 51312,
    "p": 42,
    "ks": [
     1,
     2,
     3,
     4,
     6,
     7,
     10,
     13,
     18,
     24,
     32,
     42
    ],
    "random": [
     [
      -0.0019837415384986734,
      0.03064321428624428,
      0.03913636551890276,
      0.041084048173748666,
      0.04137200094717797,
      0.05052911628693413,
      0.0760081076637047,
      0.08625091609661273,
      0.1543066070699477,
      0.3177585763658647,
      0.370702101882566,
      0.3956138618365217
     ],
     [
      -0.0004652709593697679,
      0.008980417769403726,
      0.03912595954520137,
      0.11518240213925601,
      0.252291692045455,
      0.25229273580751643,
      0.25297355347579664,
      0.3195704423575182,
      0.344299575795904,
      0.364986728012206,
      0.3751881240500803,
      0.3956138618365217
     ],
     [
      0.036748700773182486,
      0.039615515090566156,
      0.052765143002873716,
      0.05375019915067114,
      0.05484168770721376,
      0.0560069219457251,
      0.08547075950081218,
      0.25377514601835416,
      0.308709510357841,
      0.35983378476847694,
      0.3799640810939433,
      0.3956138618365218
     ],
     [
      0.018861981178324716,
      0.05391419921587348,
      0.058317958148372595,
      0.05975072586312158,
      0.07156216177446051,
      0.07213431426105132,
      0.09121794488021528,
      0.11657360330860456,
      0.274814706172657,
      0.3364716667121428,
      0.3562525579805417,
      0.3956138618365218
     ],
     [
      0.00758468282164404,
      0.03029700336538843,
      0.03398651825212673,
      0.033990087479567443,
      0.04462544667266577,
      0.04623642917937021,
      0.06352717319397005,
      0.11627098127251956,
      0.17927808259515088,
      0.20914883241206184,
      0.34403614063120713,
      0.3956138618365219
     ],
     [
      2.444708251514438e-05,
      0.06139096801935906,
      0.0633531236960333,
      0.06338040768056619,
      0.07949483002047542,
      0.17937480337838463,
      0.18114090431451346,
      0.21638121593059412,
      0.34857274797468063,
      0.3586723249486944,
      0.38236397134802946,
      0.3956138618365217
     ],
     [
      0.009104444979665116,
      0.010654642006160842,
      0.03146198837566072,
      0.06316852170664777,
      0.08316948250398881,
      0.08330939978714191,
      0.1174345581189119,
      0.1429719104406031,
      0.31555300412649323,
      0.3692833457550393,
      0.38563492142920086,
      0.3956138618365218
     ],
     [
      -0.00043910153703241583,
      0.08449943894571699,
      0.08349999815097098,
      0.0847808676074584,
      0.09068136029211094,
      0.0915826817180232,
      0.1085761879856525,
      0.11483309887453497,
      0.12113680575528274,
      0.1537545060808917,
      0.23133398479611467,
      0.3956138618365218
     ]
    ],
    "random_mean": [
     0.00867951785005383,
     0.03999942483733912,
     0.05020588183626777,
     0.06438590747512965,
     0.08975483274544352,
     0.10393330029551837,
     0.12204364864169709,
     0.17082841428741766,
     0.25583387998099466,
     0.30873872063192215,
     0.3531844854014604,
     0.3956138618365217
    ],
    "informed": [
     0.12194566756310721,
     0.25342541339530744,
     0.25889755319197627,
     0.2895129464895164,
     0.3167459379883236,
     0.32580328186292484,
     0.337856849992902,
     0.34359904034736544,
     0.356830631052119,
     0.3833636574948901,
     0.3910699604703728,
     0.3956138618365218
    ],
    "shuffled": [
     0.00012163907066309321,
     0.00018490005803251108,
     0.0001772044963439523,
     -1.6953768626093435e-05,
     -8.134861503239499e-05,
     0.00029577123669199956,
     0.0007101831338716114,
     0.0007766277037308811,
     0.0008910182897756691,
     0.0016077111248045117,
     0.003998853223204146,
     0.005799537656262399
    ],
    "informed_top5": [
     "cr",
     "siteclcd",
     "sicond",
     "cclcd",
     "plot_n"
    ],
    "full_skill": 0.3956138618365218,
    "asymptote": 0.9302450237587945,
    "half_k": 53.34601282856101,
    "asymptote_q025": 0.5547283885559422,
    "asymptote_q975": 1.9999999999999967,
    "chance": 0.0,
    "with_strong": 0.6387867846532329,
    "strong_alone": 0.6062153974460175,
    "strong_name": "prior diameter growth (t0 to t1)",
    "ceiling": {
     "value": -3.9645286821175603,
     "method": "mirror of negative increments: E[d^2 | d<0] as error variance of a remeasured increment",
     "neg_share": 0.02285426835071309,
     "err_sd_increment_in": 1.9373424212943922
    },
    "share_of_ceiling": -0.09978837172271735,
    "at_ceiling": false,
    "variance_left": 0.6043861381634782,
    "left_noise": 4.96452868211756,
    "left_reliable_unexplained": -4.360142543954082,
    "strong_gain": 0.2431729228167111,
    "moved": false
   },
   "trees_mortality": {
    "task": "clf",
    "n": 90427,
    "n_train": 63116,
    "p": 42,
    "ks": [
     1,
     2,
     3,
     4,
     6,
     7,
     10,
     13,
     18,
     24,
     32,
     42
    ],
    "random": [
     [
      0.5277769850648446,
      0.5723515808455827,
      0.6061931836685399,
      0.6122893694444836,
      0.6137135595706465,
      0.6106217750374756,
      0.6240960388282626,
      0.663845466411141,
      0.6656099566637446,
      0.6702130217829527,
      0.6810578227589126,
      0.6863981109059227
     ],
     [
      0.5598563870374754,
      0.5917686848280158,
      0.5965657102378076,
      0.6090601231645183,
      0.6136172981911859,
      0.6140823574312445,
      0.6621882142458144,
      0.6780172214518414,
      0.6755055963018877,
      0.6758642160833706,
      0.681609462223842,
      0.6863981109059227
     ],
     [
      0.6121722239244844,
      0.6140134091533676,
      0.6109386709061427,
      0.6135561942218859,
      0.6173867103037389,
      0.6588977353285917,
      0.6619391219538858,
      0.6592497043077233,
      0.661863571678745,
      0.6750666877149698,
      0.6791805572600363,
      0.6863981109059227
     ],
     [
      0.550755689098106,
      0.5606256262025463,
      0.5624397645394126,
      0.5617153949968752,
      0.595713608908153,
      0.5962906447657831,
      0.6049918730655993,
      0.6153275571181466,
      0.6107679995158536,
      0.6196966772697938,
      0.6761883617259148,
      0.6863981109059227
     ],
     [
      0.5105282334324255,
      0.5225632130145954,
      0.5300189443601595,
      0.5764494866902758,
      0.5997380098545457,
      0.6042770338255637,
      0.6085707234963752,
      0.613064030411071,
      0.6313538522343457,
      0.6448135765459433,
      0.6776209685112239,
      0.6863981109059227
     ],
     [
      0.49689460772112454,
      0.5203686345853968,
      0.5308891789981594,
      0.6145697871485911,
      0.6129774989912876,
      0.6186146108056061,
      0.6177154125667066,
      0.6197474079396295,
      0.6315991466031171,
      0.6395979099709413,
      0.6527160740974808,
      0.6863981109059227
     ],
     [
      0.5555677242906557,
      0.5591833249521687,
      0.5580127837383579,
      0.5544032748391051,
      0.5525347055194205,
      0.5533755328739088,
      0.5463789331687093,
      0.5949175624396758,
      0.6204037919955575,
      0.6373237215707039,
      0.6769016968818962,
      0.6863981109059227
     ],
     [
      0.5174947292724128,
      0.52028633589773,
      0.5179106107317771,
      0.5751355738772812,
      0.6099987869717393,
      0.6129953128481522,
      0.6235947085346876,
      0.6290748631882482,
      0.6413031597212145,
      0.6503408103614443,
      0.6496975548739999,
      0.6863981109059227
     ]
    ],
    "random_mean": [
     0.5413808224801911,
     0.5576451011849255,
     0.5641211058975446,
     0.589647400547877,
     0.6019600222888397,
     0.6086443753645407,
     0.6186843782325051,
     0.6341554766584345,
     0.6423008843393082,
     0.651614577662515,
     0.6718715622916632,
     0.6863981109059227
    ],
    "informed": [
     0.6241319593725158,
     0.6484275799500537,
     0.6486361373985664,
     0.6567878869677728,
     0.6613625608366506,
     0.664827633298451,
     0.6724964964602558,
     0.679196237003538,
     0.6833111270186117,
     0.6841302094882947,
     0.6872958139344204,
     0.6863981109059227
    ],
    "shuffled": [
     0.47290968032934033,
     0.5460381760491786,
     0.5312958496065023,
     0.5331203124377458,
     0.5388400601385159,
     0.5422479019802176,
     0.5427524223517717,
     0.5462059235710558,
     0.5441552979652626,
     0.517907744542105,
     0.5015699398641462,
     0.48277388061760973
    ],
    "informed_top5": [
     "cr",
     "log_dia",
     "dia",
     "dstrb",
     "cclcd"
    ],
    "full_skill": 0.6863981109059227,
    "asymptote": 0.6964584851044197,
    "half_k": 5.5643226221357605,
    "asymptote_q025": 0.6784881963846567,
    "asymptote_q975": 0.7889110497782593,
    "chance": 0.5,
    "with_strong": 0.7015099096067667,
    "strong_alone": 0.6579839709895462,
    "strong_name": "prior diameter growth (t0 to t1)",
    "death_rate": 0.18626074070797438,
    "strong_gain": 0.015111798700844004,
    "moved": false
   },
   "mood": {
    "task": "reg",
    "n": 8141,
    "n_train": 5844,
    "p": 31,
    "ks": [
     1,
     2,
     3,
     4,
     5,
     6,
     8,
     11,
     14,
     18,
     24,
     31
    ],
    "random": [
     [
      -0.002746660043474014,
      -0.0027548794589835612,
      0.4042195115701882,
      0.4052456681562103,
      0.40603204142396576,
      0.40497700003306036,
      0.4050183100089739,
      0.4417015195846422,
      0.44778411323351375,
      0.45177839432075895,
      0.5197694320305215,
      0.520998696895022
     ],
     [
      -0.0013877076933332955,
      0.01277616772564083,
      0.16847019486289438,
      0.5096174829653836,
      0.509327908988501,
      0.5093394739136949,
      0.5107362461563483,
      0.5127719967697218,
      0.5151662154763748,
      0.520605720171553,
      0.520857226561315,
      0.520998696895022
     ],
     [
      0.008357204033842214,
      0.01266079927115249,
      0.03205629562723422,
      0.031568015936079497,
      0.03138083660598057,
      0.031828105977876886,
      0.29581304869711766,
      0.5138843822733019,
      0.5140130054324666,
      0.5168019500332262,
      0.5210722591151512,
      0.520998696895022
     ],
     [
      0.01426627069687414,
      0.1761688227555731,
      0.1801109403908575,
      0.17848896604973152,
      0.5096111216147307,
      0.5100988949281327,
      0.5097362035419284,
      0.5087520322713942,
      0.5139639205575564,
      0.5149588910207104,
      0.51498900377642,
      0.520998696895022
     ],
     [
      0.0017261342112897538,
      0.2897488460268369,
      0.3067883775656516,
      0.33503317939809174,
      0.3352698532829105,
      0.33546267325948975,
      0.34610008205441367,
      0.34842122854089386,
      0.3494479564158597,
      0.3786032690370972,
      0.4560265053726863,
      0.520998696895022
     ],
     [
      0.16862263451182447,
      0.17660089240191446,
      0.20060709002116361,
      0.20404268835356287,
      0.2049604334559879,
      0.21193983104983882,
      0.5119049825667266,
      0.5163607537879902,
      0.515699450600254,
      0.5167697578388326,
      0.5152136394810848,
      0.5209986968950222
     ],
     [
      -0.005343649450684662,
      0.2883876040580793,
      0.4292151771411775,
      0.43840481878612103,
      0.4380222878503863,
      0.4380301990072677,
      0.43912333302476647,
      0.43910655413487765,
      0.44443352924966095,
      0.5205205009581622,
      0.5201737356193572,
      0.5209986968950222
     ],
     [
      -0.0027430699100026157,
      0.17069739440784437,
      0.1720905169082414,
      0.21514210437590464,
      0.21485407878740814,
      0.22353190039374782,
      0.22619812666484607,
      0.4361672018133145,
      0.4440616478230268,
      0.4446529279924214,
      0.5198293364897069,
      0.5209986968950222
     ]
    ],
    "random_mean": [
     0.022593894544541998,
     0.14053570589850722,
     0.23669476301092607,
     0.2896928655026356,
     0.33118232025123384,
     0.33315100982038864,
     0.40557879158939014,
     0.46464570864701704,
     0.4680712298485891,
     0.48308642642159516,
     0.5109913923057803,
     0.5209986968950221
    ],
    "informed": [
     0.5007636254015762,
     0.5118960820996963,
     0.5155990061888962,
     0.5166978217504659,
     0.5163405853972489,
     0.5196008004313997,
     0.5201341349735329,
     0.5223262997250918,
     0.5212175339623739,
     0.5213963209469564,
     0.5209304657210707,
     0.5209986968950222
    ],
    "shuffled": [
     -0.002809978992887041,
     -0.00304714396166883,
     -0.0030450909521875236,
     -0.012097184449132437,
     -0.0071920097278066475,
     -0.008306503054806846,
     -0.008576863351463127,
     -0.005318582499063362,
     -0.005201230417076097,
     -0.01016653668743639,
     -0.011031678851542548,
     -0.00896546887356231
    ],
    "informed_top5": [
     "happy",
     "cheerful",
     "relaxed",
     "lively",
     "balanced"
    ],
    "full_skill": 0.5209986968950221,
    "asymptote": 0.6369706635897183,
    "half_k": 5.291988318140291,
    "asymptote_q025": 0.4987611382832017,
    "asymptote_q975": 1.16697358147607,
    "chance": 0.0,
    "with_strong": 0.5528357554368593,
    "strong_alone": 0.41446882342518165,
    "strong_name": "person's mean happiness in the training weeks",
    "ceiling": {
     "value": 0.7975019777572139,
     "method": "parallel forms: r(happy, cheerful) at the same beep",
     "n": 11472
    },
    "share_of_ceiling": 0.6532882819428335,
    "at_ceiling": false,
    "variance_left": 0.4790013031049779,
    "left_noise": 0.20249802224278612,
    "left_reliable_unexplained": 0.2765032808621918,
    "strong_gain": 0.03183705854183716,
    "moved": false
   },
   "deam_valence": {
    "task": "reg",
    "n": 1744,
    "n_train": 1234,
    "p": 22,
    "ks": [
     1,
     2,
     3,
     4,
     5,
     7,
     8,
     11,
     14,
     17,
     22
    ],
    "random": [
     [
      0.015189343913785125,
      0.022334576059904077,
      0.025745495231046744,
      0.02739809385270553,
      0.025390009236397337,
      0.26345327564678966,
      0.2678076804066528,
      0.26297763411786,
      0.4298535913187911,
      0.43455362947191234,
      0.44462454766761905
     ],
     [
      -0.005173711711158102,
      -0.0001971185066615977,
      0.0017616608467337924,
      0.009174737474993533,
      -0.00638548598705535,
      0.25221427726171164,
      0.25230438927265464,
      0.2703200558140064,
      0.4266317310510819,
      0.45145030661319974,
      0.4446245476676193
     ],
     [
      0.0007866259344633253,
      -0.00019927275151632173,
      -0.009896588457314115,
      -0.005510904235453751,
      0.012111432865218097,
      0.010470263780939515,
      0.013692769484605405,
      0.24601236447608021,
      0.27243424877290323,
      0.3650794319475754,
      0.44462454766761905
     ],
     [
      -0.008411355370657958,
      0.06394210408433898,
      0.24078405842520312,
      0.24327620192049682,
      0.29062481801148354,
      0.31211537611501816,
      0.3121436059308996,
      0.32111125058581746,
      0.33557021153647903,
      0.36286280444120367,
      0.4446245476676194
     ],
     [
      0.0075468866305700155,
      0.25337015536066887,
      0.2543963426284881,
      0.2614076575165901,
      0.2523495617299746,
      0.28795717358851003,
      0.2877626721781774,
      0.3625127400479292,
      0.41663271092030896,
      0.4144094788724809,
      0.4446245476676196
     ],
     [
      -0.004823700688473043,
      0.07154028260019973,
      0.08113997049795274,
      0.13676547826142849,
      0.15254946065598807,
      0.27566301217211786,
      0.3281990170329796,
      0.3273897518142518,
      0.38480513489208445,
      0.3907798038263981,
      0.44462454766761905
     ],
     [
      0.24136882863707199,
      0.25337015536066887,
      0.25422048211400794,
      0.252788781256693,
      0.25240979036324807,
      0.2503978814904989,
      0.2556201485810483,
      0.2691498882405624,
      0.3643503424911657,
      0.3813344349282676,
      0.44462454766761905
     ],
     [
      -0.0246347395124924,
      -0.009168238679592822,
      0.07810948255018846,
      0.10372124356358714,
      0.10678606933360801,
      0.2915896376977414,
      0.2917059192098874,
      0.35630077263571114,
      0.35883724366628367,
      0.35141676608844363,
      0.44462454766761905
     ]
    ],
    "random_mean": [
     0.02773102222913862,
     0.08187408044100122,
     0.11578261297953835,
     0.1286276612013801,
     0.13572945702610778,
     0.2429826122191659,
     0.2511545252621131,
     0.30197180721652733,
     0.3736394018311372,
     0.39398583202368515,
     0.44462454766761916
    ],
    "informed": [
     0.24136882863707199,
     0.31536808947157857,
     0.34794315358509975,
     0.4024984674108756,
     0.38876050207057666,
     0.3951558116696743,
     0.395884326078192,
     0.4196837640093555,
     0.41893946687683137,
     0.41980390507314036,
     0.4446245476676194
    ],
    "shuffled": [
     -0.03128568134312215,
     -0.03560354107928987,
     -0.06874112399040078,
     -0.046731557920096645,
     -0.05214977162690637,
     -0.047132016066987914,
     -0.04687615952487878,
     -0.05875221147313758,
     -0.03225354263957958,
     -0.03280190194953159,
     -0.02190042881558618
    ],
    "informed_top5": [
     "slope",
     "sent",
     "loud_db",
     "tail_s",
     "genre_Classical"
    ],
    "full_skill": 0.44462454766761916,
    "asymptote": 0.8989100034062639,
    "half_k": 21.493340119247552,
    "asymptote_q025": 0.38187097646194634,
    "asymptote_q975": 1.9999999999989566,
    "chance": 0.0,
    "with_strong": 0.5268205987650766,
    "strong_alone": 0.37802265721427686,
    "strong_name": "rated arousal (human)",
    "ceiling": {
     "value": 0.8210371926435841,
     "value_5_raters": 0.6420743852871682,
     "method": "1 - mean(sd^2/n)/var(mean), n = 10 raters assumed"
    },
    "share_of_ceiling": 0.5415400808287533,
    "at_ceiling": false,
    "variance_left": 0.5553754523323808,
    "left_noise": 0.1789628073564159,
    "left_reliable_unexplained": 0.37641264497596494,
    "strong_gain": 0.08219605109745742,
    "moved": false
   },
   "deam_arousal": {
    "task": "reg",
    "n": 1744,
    "n_train": 1234,
    "p": 22,
    "ks": [
     1,
     2,
     3,
     4,
     5,
     7,
     8,
     11,
     14,
     17,
     22
    ],
    "random": [
     [
      0.02067392967853554,
      0.04479539870341154,
      0.05849700690511139,
      0.06374874243954542,
      0.08521981839788839,
      0.1925751617001913,
      0.2005008019054002,
      0.2244414437622856,
      0.24831208762613843,
      0.3399650029620708,
      0.3927955575230486
     ],
     [
      -0.0003169550186932213,
      0.018434961615142353,
      0.03864146059409057,
      0.2455071002886693,
      0.24725411724529456,
      0.2798595998183334,
      0.274642021737308,
      0.28678117408480286,
      0.34680648829022376,
      0.35784679285349763,
      0.3927955575230484
     ],
     [
      0.005716300035895183,
      0.028925020291023174,
      0.04214290123954678,
      0.042804727844639734,
      0.12792134910403552,
      0.29249486142257675,
      0.29627273498727846,
      0.3200657379326699,
      0.3550835927829151,
      0.39403415346284265,
      0.3927955575230485
     ],
     [
      -0.0003169550186932213,
      0.012453839371014297,
      0.19779373948676948,
      0.29761011448569985,
      0.2990786180806646,
      0.3355060906369055,
      0.33110682739431785,
      0.3801455967164835,
      0.3793570109464105,
      0.38088151012686355,
      0.3927955575230492
     ],
     [
      0.0001689070171437823,
      0.013898156112693516,
      0.10256638897585013,
      0.1242719538818241,
      0.13025760254732155,
      0.13960094647306243,
      0.13737463864988164,
      0.3810387672980775,
      0.38838206301067013,
      0.3880174678642845,
      0.39279555752304907
     ],
     [
      0.0187039879904487,
      0.033931115428610825,
      0.03992565954588467,
      0.05632616837699822,
      0.052737929944403183,
      0.0599147215965925,
      0.06071438495658987,
      0.33822051517541374,
      0.333706043241206,
      0.3324198880399377,
      0.3927955575230486
     ],
     [
      -0.005599178952806705,
      -0.005189209748762469,
      0.010223703065042278,
      0.01891663883950634,
      0.21616296546512792,
      0.23037482805266407,
      0.24521361655743024,
      0.29001005835330584,
      0.3494999218061158,
      0.38048819177844784,
      0.39279555752304907
     ],
     [
      0.018768739399470546,
      0.01693778459734452,
      0.009586409162146148,
      0.031492018609935446,
      0.05030867187185928,
      0.12923626865175353,
      0.15540508011927834,
      0.19283154395887325,
      0.19083687313258035,
      0.3577788861572321,
      0.3927955575230485
     ]
    ],
    "random_mean": [
     0.007224846891412576,
     0.02052338329630972,
     0.06242215862180518,
     0.1100846830958523,
     0.15111763408207438,
     0.20744530979400994,
     0.2126537632884356,
     0.30169185466023907,
     0.3239980101045325,
     0.3664289866556471,
     0.39279555752304873
    ],
    "informed": [
     0.21053117329874937,
     0.2804406520129953,
     0.2542637919055295,
     0.3244331954623165,
     0.3240155329658788,
     0.3205593047169809,
     0.3204502128799782,
     0.33555419326396674,
     0.34012145394403315,
     0.35671585932422445,
     0.3927955575230483
    ],
    "shuffled": [
     -0.0004193926247395563,
     -0.00042529192283025097,
     -0.0005366559856634368,
     -0.0005138933324442263,
     -0.00044644792617454243,
     -0.00028444336732502684,
     0.0008214053146966549,
     0.0001500475506954757,
     -0.00019549737107782406,
     0.004806104201388051,
     0.0035417530955451637
    ],
    "informed_top5": [
     "slope",
     "sent",
     "loud_db",
     "tail_s",
     "genre_Classical"
    ],
    "full_skill": 0.39279555752304873,
    "asymptote": 0.923772077190812,
    "half_k": 26.77683475094274,
    "asymptote_q025": 0.544798283742475,
    "asymptote_q975": 1.9999999999999776,
    "chance": 0.0,
    "with_strong": 0.48433338898112377,
    "strong_alone": 0.3864341055239402,
    "strong_name": "rated valence (human)",
    "ceiling": {
     "value": 0.8624032814065083,
     "value_5_raters": 0.7248065628130167,
     "method": "1 - mean(sd^2/n)/var(mean), n = 10 raters assumed"
    },
    "share_of_ceiling": 0.4554662139995939,
    "at_ceiling": false,
    "variance_left": 0.6072044424769513,
    "left_noise": 0.13759671859349165,
    "left_reliable_unexplained": 0.4696077238834596,
    "strong_gain": 0.09153783145807504,
    "moved": false
   },
   "gjp": {
    "task": "reg",
    "n": 2120,
    "n_train": 1482,
    "p": 1349,
    "ks": [
     1,
     2,
     3,
     5,
     9,
     16,
     28,
     48,
     84,
     147,
     256,
     445,
     775,
     1349
    ],
    "random": [
     [
      0.00275204705297305,
      0.0017563213078392037,
      0.0043551078327561665,
      0.004857069261743341,
      0.0033757266664991015,
      0.03726480348772854,
      0.03826530109174564,
      0.061787325239425095,
      0.07944427331989634,
      0.09671470092912338,
      0.1058432538303632,
      0.11423617789370866,
      0.12473511182775787,
      0.13108191002444314
     ],
     [
      0.011761974347684001,
      0.01433990647931438,
      0.015990429214346125,
      0.01186906756476147,
      0.024372459279485614,
      0.021309346622264802,
      0.030802777642873425,
      0.07879860976602016,
      0.11062454876417227,
      0.13010547650613713,
      0.13114344783609067,
      0.12482958031172009,
      0.12558649163949354,
      0.13108191002444336
     ],
     [
      -2.418350957933413e-06,
      0.007681123522751743,
      0.01229763157279573,
      0.010784745313010102,
      0.04982842687823774,
      0.04430496581563692,
      0.04033600918517899,
      0.043763791920385264,
      0.06731753008456542,
      0.084895654681029,
      0.10515071868480064,
      0.11422362868061908,
      0.1261077206306671,
      0.13108191002444314
     ],
     [
      -8.118648300303732e-06,
      -0.0024752358291177945,
      -0.0002471944295057149,
      0.0006239292061466228,
      0.0003531165951708992,
      0.008278830218081734,
      0.013644336680698865,
      0.049255046162803295,
      0.0817023392947891,
      0.09697356200166607,
      0.10838759733137082,
      0.11676081671556793,
      0.12635189636456767,
      0.13108191002444336
     ],
     [
      2.2947198753842102e-05,
      6.748505974096819e-05,
      6.565843152372963e-05,
      0.011374096219891383,
      0.012303570784648277,
      0.024584130628190648,
      0.04582677968583415,
      0.06158153324367677,
      0.08112484982907198,
      0.1069870910827535,
      0.10630105034120896,
      0.12089036754106786,
      0.1295558307176926,
      0.13108191002444314
     ],
     [
      0.01762777139876992,
      0.016488755612892314,
      0.017612683842398114,
      0.04216451048528347,
      0.05979649173052126,
      0.06362029099971522,
      0.06665479846081557,
      0.07318912631972996,
      0.08727112985423857,
      0.10198669913403857,
      0.10041382729105408,
      0.11443550057358032,
      0.1265273501739701,
      0.13108191002444314
     ],
     [
      0.0008975059258270468,
      2.9306594491851357e-05,
      0.004726653645924284,
      0.003036277384572905,
      0.0011159390138922864,
      0.009527735986933461,
      0.009807664887585443,
      0.01877999121995344,
      0.050587629980048066,
      0.09133496964256327,
      0.10483092650657355,
      0.123964486767555,
      0.1265648568227269,
      0.13108191002444314
     ],
     [
      0.0009211590264528446,
      0.008658596398176455,
      0.00822984278944705,
      0.005148642230189959,
      0.018241626453023185,
      0.04429026709162298,
      0.04630890131860255,
      0.07227866337681021,
      0.0912946728687557,
      0.11689555917924943,
      0.10525693706899286,
      0.11245273471518769,
      0.13378682100351846,
      0.13108191002444292
     ]
    ],
    "random_mean": [
     0.0042466084939003085,
     0.00581828239326114,
     0.007878851612460686,
     0.011232292208199907,
     0.021173419675184796,
     0.03164754635627179,
     0.03645582111916683,
     0.057429260906100524,
     0.08117087174944218,
     0.10323671414457004,
     0.10841596986130685,
     0.11772416164987583,
     0.1274020098975493,
     0.13108191002444317
    ],
    "informed": [
     0.040030822853749704,
     0.06911311410916354,
     0.06620833739793386,
     0.073484716249966,
     0.08107670362016994,
     0.08810828159564377,
     0.09736273427040365,
     0.10515009114685303,
     0.09887900661529947,
     0.11794294856404652,
     0.12457278104635094,
     0.13154697461743425,
     0.13745821116974466,
     0.13108191002444292
    ],
    "shuffled": [
     -0.0026322850160869216,
     -0.00264006388726834,
     -0.0008275717445347386,
     -0.00019818240551305877,
     -0.00085811446361439,
     1.865739223227969e-06,
     -0.00017096884427192371,
     -0.0004851490351909238,
     -0.001579366457849618,
     -0.0005371885046916436,
     -0.0015395448318022975,
     -0.0020815905028963577,
     -0.003001325673325894,
     -0.004141441715180383
    ],
    "informed_top5": [
     "shipa_22_cor_yr3",
     "pk_score_china_yr3",
     "shipa_score_yr3",
     "crt_score_yr3",
     "shipa_14_cor_yr3"
    ],
    "full_skill": 0.13108191002444317,
    "asymptote": 0.13666484221189898,
    "half_k": 60.38097919178512,
    "asymptote_q025": 0.11848615378770039,
    "asymptote_q975": 0.15498955648977897,
    "chance": 0.0,
    "with_strong": 0.3602540393699408,
    "strong_alone": 0.5126251049292774,
    "strong_name": "accuracy on the other half of the questions",
    "ceiling": {
     "value": 0.7143708749093276,
     "method": "split-half: r(odd-question accuracy, even-question accuracy)"
    },
    "share_of_ceiling": 0.1834927971287756,
    "at_ceiling": false,
    "variance_left": 0.8689180899755569,
    "left_noise": 0.2856291250906724,
    "left_reliable_unexplained": 0.5832889648848845,
    "strong_gain": 0.22917212934549766,
    "moved": true
   },
   "taste": {
    "task": "clf",
    "n": 2625,
    "n_train": 1798,
    "p": 42,
    "ks": [
     1,
     2,
     3,
     4,
     6,
     7,
     10,
     13,
     18,
     24,
     32,
     42
    ],
    "random": [
     [
      0.47597719869706834,
      0.4617044600350789,
      0.4749123026810323,
      0.475266224004009,
      0.45016599849661737,
      0.4337979203207216,
      0.5240948383863694,
      0.5648239789526435,
      0.6502975444750689,
      0.6135398396391881,
      0.6204867201202706,
      0.6991136306690053
     ],
     [
      0.5163398897519419,
      0.5226415685291906,
      0.6009991230268104,
      0.6010053871210224,
      0.5787929090453521,
      0.5793065647707342,
      0.5981614883487848,
      0.6325701578551741,
      0.6262622149837134,
      0.639955524931095,
      0.670918942620897,
      0.6990509897268854
     ],
     [
      0.44270546229015284,
      0.44678965171636176,
      0.4447851415685292,
      0.5579585316963167,
      0.5632642194938611,
      0.5680249310949637,
      0.6041875469807065,
      0.6147049611626159,
      0.6263060636431972,
      0.5788179654222,
      0.6452236281633675,
      0.6990760461037334
     ],
     [
      0.48111688799799546,
      0.5215015033826109,
      0.6046949386118767,
      0.6093428965171637,
      0.6154190679027812,
      0.6044318466549738,
      0.6112785016286646,
      0.6231364319719369,
      0.6359151841643699,
      0.6462446755199198,
      0.6716455775494864,
      0.6990071410674016
     ],
     [
      0.5743704585316963,
      0.5840108995239288,
      0.5704491355549988,
      0.5838918817339012,
      0.5845496116261588,
      0.5871116261588574,
      0.5650557504384865,
      0.6046009771986971,
      0.638621272863944,
      0.6352198697068404,
      0.6259176898020546,
      0.6990885742921573
     ],
     [
      0.5680280631420696,
      0.5670727887747431,
      0.5976102480581308,
      0.5958061889250814,
      0.618219118015535,
      0.6356708844901028,
      0.620931470809321,
      0.6161018541718868,
      0.655139689300927,
      0.6173672012027062,
      0.617962290152844,
      0.6990885742921573
     ],
     [
      0.5003132047105989,
      0.5468773490353294,
      0.5466142570784265,
      0.5464263342520672,
      0.572271986970684,
      0.6075451014783263,
      0.6446723878727136,
      0.6412020796792783,
      0.6506044850914557,
      0.686955023803558,
      0.6920289401152593,
      0.6990760461037334
     ],
     [
      0.46911801553495364,
      0.5653188423953897,
      0.5503288649461289,
      0.5024711851666248,
      0.5583656978200953,
      0.5557974191931846,
      0.5941587321473315,
      0.6153251064896016,
      0.6446410674016537,
      0.6495207967927837,
      0.6640660235529943,
      0.6990196692558256
     ]
    ],
    "random_mean": [
     0.5034961475820596,
     0.5269896329240792,
     0.5487992514407416,
     0.5590210786770233,
     0.5676310761713856,
     0.5714607867702329,
     0.5953175895765472,
     0.6140581934352293,
     0.6409734402405413,
     0.6334526121272864,
     0.6510312265096467,
     0.6990650839388625
    ],
    "informed": [
     0.5524962415434728,
     0.5474411175144074,
     0.5475726634928589,
     0.5592113505387122,
     0.5789244550238035,
     0.5967207466800301,
     0.6075764219493861,
     0.6099943623152093,
     0.6155506138812328,
     0.6190021297920321,
     0.6301835379604108,
     0.6990948383863693
    ],
    "shuffled": [
     0.44223878727136057,
     0.4390722876472062,
     0.4386338010523678,
     0.43499436231520927,
     0.46550050112753694,
     0.46835066399398645,
     0.4537052117263844,
     0.44380167877724885,
     0.45694374843397645,
     0.439122400400902,
     0.42135742921573544,
     0.4516568529190679
    ],
    "informed_top5": [
     "gen_rms_contrast",
     "pal_L_sd",
     "gen_sharpness",
     "pal_L_p95",
     "form_aspect_log"
    ],
    "full_skill": 0.6990650839388625,
    "asymptote": 0.749372479150266,
    "half_k": 15.986980719171035,
    "asymptote_q025": 0.6554155345371027,
    "asymptote_q975": 2.212915736138039,
    "chance": 0.5,
    "with_strong": 0.8440898271109998,
    "strong_alone": 0.8359903532949136,
    "strong_name": "64 principal components of the SigLIP image embedding",
    "strong_gain": 0.14502474317213732,
    "moved": false
   },
   "things": {
    "task": "trip",
    "n": 150000,
    "n_train": 150000,
    "p": 66,
    "ks": [
     1,
     2,
     3,
     4,
     5,
     7,
     10,
     13,
     18,
     25,
     35,
     48,
     66
    ],
    "random": [
     [
      0.36796666666666666,
      0.37828,
      0.38062666666666667,
      0.3932466666666667,
      0.39438,
      0.40530666666666665,
      0.42868,
      0.4369266666666667,
      0.5296333333333333,
      0.5427933333333333,
      0.5520266666666667,
      0.6176733333333333,
      0.6419733333333333
     ],
     [
      0.3548733333333333,
      0.3542266666666667,
      0.36906666666666665,
      0.3724133333333333,
      0.37668666666666667,
      0.3974666666666667,
      0.40853333333333336,
      0.41764,
      0.45056666666666667,
      0.4983666666666667,
      0.5417133333333334,
      0.5859266666666667,
      0.6419733333333333
     ],
     [
      0.34758,
      0.3940533333333333,
      0.40684,
      0.42852,
      0.4287,
      0.43494666666666665,
      0.4385,
      0.4429133333333333,
      0.45472666666666667,
      0.47341333333333335,
      0.50784,
      0.5620333333333334,
      0.6419733333333333
     ],
     [
      0.34178,
      0.34229333333333334,
      0.3649266666666667,
      0.3682066666666667,
      0.36967333333333335,
      0.39594,
      0.4251666666666667,
      0.4398666666666667,
      0.4959133333333333,
      0.5166866666666666,
      0.55816,
      0.5835733333333334,
      0.6419733333333333
     ],
     [
      0.33638,
      0.3721333333333333,
      0.39632,
      0.5220066666666666,
      0.5226666666666666,
      0.5253533333333333,
      0.5413866666666667,
      0.5474666666666667,
      0.5638533333333333,
      0.57738,
      0.6092733333333333,
      0.6235466666666667,
      0.6419733333333333
     ],
     [
      0.36811333333333335,
      0.38194,
      0.4002266666666667,
      0.40319333333333335,
      0.4143133333333333,
      0.44134666666666666,
      0.4819466666666667,
      0.49029333333333336,
      0.49608,
      0.54986,
      0.5738933333333334,
      0.63414,
      0.6419733333333333
     ],
     [
      0.3625,
      0.36322666666666664,
      0.3762333333333333,
      0.38197333333333333,
      0.3886,
      0.39398666666666665,
      0.41634666666666664,
      0.4350266666666667,
      0.44916,
      0.48966,
      0.56036,
      0.58782,
      0.6419733333333333
     ],
     [
      0.33725333333333335,
      0.34226,
      0.34335333333333334,
      0.3501666666666667,
      0.36315333333333333,
      0.37868,
      0.40144,
      0.43790666666666667,
      0.4659333333333333,
      0.4809466666666667,
      0.49122,
      0.6063266666666667,
      0.6419733333333333
     ]
    ],
    "random_mean": [
     0.35205583333333335,
     0.3660516666666667,
     0.3796991666666667,
     0.4024658333333333,
     0.40727166666666664,
     0.4216283333333333,
     0.44275,
     0.456005,
     0.4882333333333333,
     0.5161383333333334,
     0.5493108333333333,
     0.60013,
     0.6419733333333334
    ],
    "informed": [
     0.4498066666666667,
     0.52052,
     0.5477133333333334,
     0.5691466666666667,
     0.5735133333333333,
     0.5832933333333333,
     0.5980333333333333,
     0.6100466666666666,
     0.6220866666666667,
     0.62956,
     0.6355066666666667,
     0.6397266666666667,
     0.6419733333333333
    ],
    "shuffled": [
     0.32005333333333336,
     0.32943333333333336,
     0.3357866666666667,
     0.35029333333333335,
     0.35298666666666667,
     0.36561333333333335,
     0.3726333333333333,
     0.37628666666666666,
     0.3781933333333333,
     0.3574,
     0.35432,
     0.35984666666666665,
     0.3482133333333333
    ],
    "full_skill": 0.6548171753523255,
    "val_full": 0.6419733333333333,
    "asymptote": 0.7631209164898118,
    "half_k": 30.097122159180717,
    "asymptote_q025": 0.6620970236788524,
    "asymptote_q975": 1.196524793545535,
    "chance": 0.3333333333333333,
    "note": "curves on 150,000 validation triplets; full_skill and the ceiling on testset3",
    "ceiling": {
     "value": 0.6596338928417718,
     "method": "leave-one-out majority agreement on 1000 repeated triplets (36401 trials)"
    },
    "share_of_ceiling": 0.9852384026043275,
    "at_ceiling": true
   }
  },
  "identification": {
   "k": 16,
   "keywords": {
    "dark": "gen_dark_share",
    "bright": "gen_bright_share",
    "light": "pal_L_mean",
    "contrast": "gen_rms_contrast",
    "sharp": "gen_sharpness",
    "colourful": "gen_colourfulness",
    "muted": "pal_chromatic_share",
    "warm": "pal_warm_share",
    "cool": "pal_cool_share",
    "symmetrical": "comp_lr_symmetry",
    "negative space": "comp_negative_space",
    "horizon": "comp_horizon_strength",
    "detailed": "comp_edge_density",
    "grainy": "sc_snr_db",
    "complex": "sc_compression_bits",
    "many colours": "pal_size90"
   },
   "kw": 0.6044569030318216,
   "pca_k": 0.8257047105988475,
   "named_random_k_mean": 0.6220114006514658,
   "named_random_k_q05": 0.5893344399899775,
   "named_random_k_q95": 0.6582354046604861,
   "named_all": 0.6990134051616136,
   "pca_64": 0.8359903532949136,
   "pca_256": 0.8481113755950889,
   "named_plus_pca64": 0.8440647707341518,
   "kw_minus_pca_k": -0.2212478075670259,
   "kw_minus_named_random": -0.017554497619644116
  },
  "overfit": {
   "ks": [
    5,
    10,
    25,
    50,
    100,
    140,
    150,
    160,
    200,
    300,
    600,
    1349
   ],
   "n_sub": 150,
   "reps": 10,
   "median": {
    "ols_real": [
     -0.026103063332802212,
     -0.09183013623268788,
     -0.26361568187341666,
     -10.773303632295214,
     -24.661753998907212,
     -1363.7951056732759,
     -135816.73971713858,
     -567.0271708213103,
     -24.324269185596215,
     -3.1266025475515216,
     -0.6964546364272816,
     -0.24268818023270666
    ],
    "ols_shuf": [
     -0.037274542732162574,
     -0.07816549412267437,
     -0.4718110135373712,
     -13.551495505806797,
     -135.09532039749496,
     -3851.23109203085,
     -35918.32981900694,
     -569.923568026418,
     -25.65356483459299,
     -3.201788728908635,
     -0.9298531637505728,
     -0.5085301961213124
    ],
    "ridge_real": [
     -0.004284866075116467,
     -0.005275517765453208,
     -0.0015090572469533825,
     0.004180037712994911,
     0.025899854907001474,
     0.037028778036203025,
     0.0389581725392073,
     0.039291757993074605,
     0.04009291558443273,
     0.03508399911209481,
     0.04831761192791506,
     0.06744166365041282
    ],
    "ridge_shuf": [
     -0.005068040211559377,
     -0.006468696538034169,
     -0.004990809440493904,
     -0.0049070340285497505,
     -0.006005350597455883,
     -0.0056074496094496995,
     -0.005578163688501059,
     -0.005967877144409939,
     -0.005954941584577433,
     -0.006758266753487008,
     -0.00680344942684763,
     -0.006062429524851143
    ],
    "ols_train": [
     0.028456154633982045,
     0.07310342866602743,
     0.19440177367433675,
     0.3659878320547792,
     0.6422102401672067,
     0.8955202531147077,
     0.9635043698654097,
     0.9831768408170669,
     1.0,
     1.0,
     1.0,
     1.0
    ]
   },
   "ols_test_r2_at_n": -135816.73971713858,
   "ols_train_r2_at_n": 0.9635043698654097,
   "ridge_shuf_max": -0.0049070340285497505,
   "ridge_real_full": 0.06744166365041282,
   "ols_shuf_min": -35918.32981900694
  },
  "lorenz": {
   "log10_precision": [
    1.0,
    2.0,
    3.0,
    4.0,
    5.0,
    6.0,
    7.0,
    8.0,
    9.0,
    10.0,
    11.0,
    12.0
   ],
   "horizon_median": [
    1.169000000000001,
    3.564999999999829,
    6.1569999999995435,
    8.541999999999522,
    11.251000000000428,
    13.615000000001217,
    16.211000000001896,
    18.550000000000598,
    21.227999999999113,
    23.72599999999773,
    26.256999999996324,
    28.711999999994966
   ],
   "slope_per_decade": 2.5108636363632844,
   "theory_slope": 2.542607213995192,
   "slope_ratio": 0.9875153435193676,
   "lin_r2": 0.9999423997564808,
   "decade_gain_ratio": 1.0150549301500527,
   "never_diverged": 0,
   "n_states": 100
  },
  "reflex": {
   "grid": {
    "b0": {
     "1": {
      "unpub": -1.1033268302462624,
      "naive": -1.1033268302462624,
      "fixed": -1.1033268302423833
     },
     "3": {
      "unpub": 0.3399361980346388,
      "naive": 0.3399361980346388,
      "fixed": 0.33993619803579744
     },
     "10": {
      "unpub": 0.8059630038773162,
      "naive": 0.8059630038773162,
      "fixed": 0.8059630038774207
     },
     "30": {
      "unpub": 0.9266035010910008,
      "naive": 0.9266035010910008,
      "fixed": 0.9266035010910822
     },
     "100": {
      "unpub": 0.982960633768695,
      "naive": 0.982960633768695,
      "fixed": 0.9829606337687025
     },
     "300": {
      "unpub": 0.9946914567717831,
      "naive": 0.9946914567717831,
      "fixed": 0.9946914567717579
     },
     "1000": {
      "unpub": 1.0,
      "naive": 1.0,
      "fixed": 1.0
     }
    },
    "b0.5": {
     "1": {
      "unpub": -1.0747528715150634,
      "naive": -2.3413312421802583,
      "fixed": -1.8905802430951688
     },
     "3": {
      "unpub": 0.32176712914217465,
      "naive": -0.1295238065158375,
      "fixed": 0.06062261278342296
     },
     "10": {
      "unpub": 0.8221143473693087,
      "naive": 0.6954644380760875,
      "fixed": 0.7662813582708918
     },
     "30": {
      "unpub": 0.9281994355536136,
      "naive": 0.8598730643767374,
      "fixed": 0.902562035336444
     },
     "100": {
      "unpub": 0.9805474459297038,
      "naive": 0.9529366773858459,
      "fixed": 0.9746975556963788
     },
     "300": {
      "unpub": 0.9953896541570273,
      "naive": 0.9776734281021177,
      "fixed": 0.9937218560771198
     },
     "1000": {
      "unpub": 1.0,
      "naive": 0.9830751892234423,
      "fixed": 0.999999405530579
     }
    },
    "b2": {
     "1": {
      "unpub": -1.2034900703005573,
      "naive": -4.604597474913838,
      "fixed": -3.0061721310926615
     },
     "3": {
      "unpub": 0.37489026324782326,
      "naive": -2.7728470147778728,
      "fixed": -0.43661970993611177
     },
     "10": {
      "unpub": 0.7647819452365155,
      "naive": -1.7876867750616228,
      "fixed": 0.428351102059782
     },
     "30": {
      "unpub": 0.9383643229213552,
      "naive": -0.5136531924145555,
      "fixed": 0.8390879160070912
     },
     "100": {
      "unpub": 0.9809323678116302,
      "naive": -0.250962033517256,
      "fixed": 0.9548505752384394
     },
     "300": {
      "unpub": 0.9956587842688542,
      "naive": -0.05758894513943247,
      "fixed": 0.9890492711118991
     },
     "1000": {
      "unpub": 1.0,
      "naive": -0.15740687957440724,
      "fixed": 0.9999961863208678
     }
    },
    "b5": {
     "1": {
      "unpub": -1.2680564707714175,
      "naive": -3.417029462086936,
      "fixed": -1.8973987133140264
     },
     "3": {
      "unpub": 0.3787942234763194,
      "naive": -3.0657711789616116,
      "fixed": -0.7040674360918666
     },
     "10": {
      "unpub": 0.8083595380229527,
      "naive": -3.457031158365379,
      "fixed": 0.07446948637427464
     },
     "30": {
      "unpub": 0.9444595072853793,
      "naive": -4.3361200688152595,
      "fixed": 0.663124107751304
     },
     "100": {
      "unpub": 0.9849442935937369,
      "naive": -4.785382691096767,
      "fixed": 0.8914658021209926
     },
     "300": {
      "unpub": 0.9951866302056521,
      "naive": -4.964779261156687,
      "fixed": 0.9685044301224426
     },
     "1000": {
      "unpub": 1.0,
      "naive": -4.936178890667722,
      "fixed": 0.9999861745153766
     }
    },
    "b20": {
     "1": {
      "unpub": -1.199169442744569,
      "naive": -3.0404040404040398,
      "fixed": -0.3787913744508893
     },
     "3": {
      "unpub": 0.3332003635554269,
      "naive": -1.8676135924693944,
      "fixed": -0.35283847877827235
     },
     "10": {
      "unpub": 0.8289579427560556,
      "naive": -1.6896720458971854,
      "fixed": -0.10937801313330264
     },
     "30": {
      "unpub": 0.935646898413642,
      "naive": -1.6332336775372402,
      "fixed": 0.060128562981737965
     },
     "100": {
      "unpub": 0.983238498287653,
      "naive": -1.5024004717067623,
      "fixed": 0.4021192071714278
     },
     "300": {
      "unpub": 0.9954495256927676,
      "naive": -1.5194820661884476,
      "fixed": 0.7648909957916632
     },
     "1000": {
      "unpub": 1.0,
      "naive": -1.5534671927802104,
      "fixed": 0.9998673610188711
     }
    }
   },
   "homogeneous_b20": {
    "10": {
     "unpub": 1.0,
     "naive": -3.0009002025455738,
     "fixed": -0.002009242602751371
    },
    "1000": {
     "unpub": 1.0,
     "naive": -3.0257648953301137,
     "fixed": -0.018130389328368635
    }
   },
   "ks": [
    1,
    3,
    10,
    30,
    100,
    300,
    1000
   ],
   "betas": [
    0.0,
    0.5,
    2.0,
    5.0,
    20.0
   ],
   "unpub_r2_full": 1.0,
   "naive_r2_steep": -1.5534671927802104,
   "fixed_r2_steep_full": 0.9998673610188711,
   "fixed_r2_steep_k100": 0.4021192071714278,
   "unpub_r2_k100": 0.983238498287653,
   "fixed_r2_mild_full": 0.999999405530579,
   "homog_fixed_r2_full": -0.018130389328368635,
   "k100_penalty": 0.5811192911162252
  },
  "p1": {
   "targets": [
    "trees_growth",
    "mood",
    "deam_valence",
    "deam_arousal",
    "gjp",
    "things"
   ],
   "n_targets": 6,
   "n_at_ceiling": 1
  },
  "p2": {
   "targets": [
    "trees_growth",
    "trees_mortality",
    "mood",
    "deam_valence",
    "deam_arousal",
    "gjp",
    "taste"
   ],
   "n_moved": 1
  },
  "timing_s": {
   "trees_growth": 14.660594099987065,
   "trees_mortality": 5.284352399990894,
   "mood": 0.9175578999856953,
   "deam_valence": 0.20436450000852346,
   "deam_arousal": 0.2000308999849949,
   "gjp": 84.77714690001449,
   "taste": 5.403589100023964
  }
 },
 "controls": {
  "S_trees_growth": {
   "n": 20,
   "usable": true,
   "mean": 0.0013484983935706796,
   "q95": 0.004663498380959582,
   "q05": -0.0026894019343469246,
   "p_ge": 0.047619047619047616,
   "compare": "analysis.domains.trees_growth.full_skill",
   "description": "trees_growth: training targets permuted, all variables refitted, scored on real held-out targets"
  },
  "S_trees_mortality": {
   "n": 20,
   "usable": true,
   "mean": 0.4961633526681342,
   "q95": 0.5312602689231299,
   "q05": 0.45552991676425464,
   "p_ge": 0.047619047619047616,
   "compare": "analysis.domains.trees_mortality.full_skill",
   "description": "trees_mortality: training targets permuted, all variables refitted, scored on real held-out targets"
  },
  "S_mood": {
   "n": 20,
   "usable": true,
   "mean": -0.0013470200790447473,
   "q95": 0.004652516186530909,
   "q05": -0.006704630335459105,
   "p_ge": 0.047619047619047616,
   "compare": "analysis.domains.mood.full_skill",
   "description": "mood: training targets permuted, all variables refitted, scored on real held-out targets"
  },
  "S_deam_valence": {
   "n": 20,
   "usable": true,
   "mean": -0.006692041883096189,
   "q95": 0.004758650853420427,
   "q05": -0.016107027946876108,
   "p_ge": 0.047619047619047616,
   "compare": "analysis.domains.deam_valence.full_skill",
   "description": "deam_valence: training targets permuted, all variables refitted, scored on real held-out targets"
  },
  "S_deam_arousal": {
   "n": 20,
   "usable": true,
   "mean": -0.0022267829727028897,
   "q95": 0.012597729738746077,
   "q05": -0.025203895238523365,
   "p_ge": 0.047619047619047616,
   "compare": "analysis.domains.deam_arousal.full_skill",
   "description": "deam_arousal: training targets permuted, all variables refitted, scored on real held-out targets"
  },
  "S_gjp": {
   "n": 20,
   "usable": true,
   "mean": -0.004046533304049521,
   "q95": 0.004278120521154246,
   "q05": -0.012923894022431315,
   "p_ge": 0.047619047619047616,
   "compare": "analysis.domains.gjp.full_skill",
   "description": "gjp: training targets permuted, all variables refitted, scored on real held-out targets"
  },
  "S_taste": {
   "n": 20,
   "usable": true,
   "mean": 0.5002668504134302,
   "q95": 0.5590766725131546,
   "q05": 0.41474693059383616,
   "p_ge": 0.047619047619047616,
   "compare": "analysis.domains.taste.full_skill",
   "description": "taste: training targets permuted, all variables refitted, scored on real held-out targets"
  },
  "S_things": {
   "n": 20,
   "usable": true,
   "mean": 0.362432,
   "q95": 0.43931133333333333,
   "q05": 0.297766,
   "p_ge": 0.047619047619047616,
   "compare": "analysis.domains.things.val_full",
   "description": "things: training targets permuted, all variables refitted, scored on real held-out targets"
  }
 },
 "timing_s": {
  "analysis": 505.091855799983,
  "S_trees_growth": 5.08677969998098,
  "S_trees_mortality": 1.180749899998773,
  "S_mood": 0.437278299999889,
  "S_deam_valence": 0.07459770000423305,
  "S_deam_arousal": 0.05346620001364499,
  "S_gjp": 68.15241270000115,
  "S_taste": 1.4516214999894146,
  "S_things": 379.0942073999904
 },
 "verdicts": {
  "P1": {
   "verdict": "FAIL",
   "rules": [
    {
     "rule": "analysis.p1.n_at_ceiling >= 4",
     "left": 1,
     "right": 4,
     "holds": false
    }
   ]
  },
  "P2": {
   "verdict": "FAIL",
   "rules": [
    {
     "rule": "analysis.p2.n_moved >= 3",
     "left": 1,
     "right": 3,
     "holds": false
    }
   ]
  },
  "P3": {
   "verdict": "PASS",
   "rules": [
    {
     "rule": "analysis.lorenz.lin_r2 >= 0.98",
     "left": 0.9999423997564808,
     "right": 0.98,
     "holds": true
    },
    {
     "rule": "analysis.lorenz.slope_ratio >= 0.75",
     "left": 0.9875153435193676,
     "right": 0.75,
     "holds": true
    },
    {
     "rule": "analysis.lorenz.slope_ratio <= 1.25",
     "left": 0.9875153435193676,
     "right": 1.25,
     "holds": true
    },
    {
     "rule": "analysis.lorenz.decade_gain_ratio >= 0.75",
     "left": 1.0150549301500527,
     "right": 0.75,
     "holds": true
    },
    {
     "rule": "analysis.lorenz.decade_gain_ratio <= 1.33",
     "left": 1.0150549301500527,
     "right": 1.33,
     "holds": true
    }
   ]
  },
  "P4": {
   "verdict": "PASS",
   "rules": [
    {
     "rule": "analysis.reflex.unpub_r2_full >= 0.99",
     "left": 1.0,
     "right": 0.99,
     "holds": true
    },
    {
     "rule": "analysis.reflex.naive_r2_steep < 0.5",
     "left": -1.5534671927802104,
     "right": 0.5,
     "holds": true
    },
    {
     "rule": "analysis.reflex.fixed_r2_steep_full >= 0.95",
     "left": 0.9998673610188711,
     "right": 0.95,
     "holds": true
    },
    {
     "rule": "analysis.reflex.k100_penalty >= 0.2",
     "left": 0.5811192911162252,
     "right": 0.2,
     "holds": true
    },
    {
     "rule": "analysis.reflex.homog_fixed_r2_full < 0.5",
     "left": -0.018130389328368635,
     "right": 0.5,
     "holds": true
    }
   ]
  },
  "P5": {
   "verdict": "FAIL",
   "rules": [
    {
     "rule": "analysis.domains.trees_growth.full_skill > controls.S_trees_growth.q95",
     "left": 0.3956138618365218,
     "right": 0.004663498380959582,
     "holds": true
    },
    {
     "rule": "analysis.domains.trees_mortality.full_skill > controls.S_trees_mortality.q95",
     "left": 0.6863981109059227,
     "right": 0.5312602689231299,
     "holds": true
    },
    {
     "rule": "analysis.domains.mood.full_skill > controls.S_mood.q95",
     "left": 0.5209986968950221,
     "right": 0.004652516186530909,
     "holds": true
    },
    {
     "rule": "analysis.domains.deam_valence.full_skill > controls.S_deam_valence.q95",
     "left": 0.44462454766761916,
     "right": 0.004758650853420427,
     "holds": true
    },
    {
     "rule": "analysis.domains.deam_arousal.full_skill > controls.S_deam_arousal.q95",
     "left": 0.39279555752304873,
     "right": 0.012597729738746077,
     "holds": true
    },
    {
     "rule": "analysis.domains.gjp.full_skill > controls.S_gjp.q95",
     "left": 0.13108191002444317,
     "right": 0.004278120521154246,
     "holds": true
    },
    {
     "rule": "analysis.domains.taste.full_skill > controls.S_taste.q95",
     "left": 0.6990650839388625,
     "right": 0.5590766725131546,
     "holds": true
    },
    {
     "rule": "analysis.domains.things.val_full > controls.S_things.q95",
     "left": 0.6419733333333333,
     "right": 0.43931133333333333,
     "holds": true
    },
    {
     "rule": "analysis.overfit.ols_test_r2_at_n < 0",
     "left": -135816.73971713858,
     "right": 0,
     "holds": true
    },
    {
     "rule": "analysis.overfit.ols_train_r2_at_n >= 0.99",
     "left": 0.9635043698654097,
     "right": 0.99,
     "holds": false
    },
    {
     "rule": "analysis.overfit.ridge_shuf_max <= 0.02",
     "left": -0.0049070340285497505,
     "right": 0.02,
     "holds": true
    },
    {
     "rule": "analysis.overfit.ridge_real_full > 0",
     "left": 0.06744166365041282,
     "right": 0,
     "holds": true
    }
   ]
  },
  "P6": {
   "verdict": "FAIL",
   "rules": [
    {
     "rule": "analysis.identification.kw_minus_pca_k >= -0.02",
     "left": -0.2212478075670259,
     "right": -0.02,
     "holds": false
    }
   ]
  }
 },
 "reproduce": null,
 "status": "scored"
}
